Today, these two teams go at it to decide the series. Texas won game one 9-4 and Baltimore evened up the series by taking game two 7-4. Both teams are pretty much out of the playoff hunt. Texas technically has an outside shot, but they are not going to catch Oakland. The Rangers are -125 today and the Orioles are +110, but could this be a mistake?

There’s no doubt that the Rangers are a slight favorite, because they are at home. The Rangers are sending Eaton to the hill. He’s pitching off of four days rest. Could this be an issue? He has a 5.17 ERA on the season. His last 5 starts show Eaton is trending the wrong way. He’s got a 6.23 ERA over his last five outings and has allowed an average of one homerun per game.

The Orioles are countering with Cabrera. He’s 7-8 this season with a 4.63 ERA. He’s 3-2 in his last five games and is pitching better of late. Over his last five outings, he has a 3.34 ERA, with an average of just over 6 innings pitched per contest. His allowed baserunners also trended down in that time. He won his last outing and has only allowed 2 homeruns over the past 5 games. Are the Orioles a slam-dunk for this game? Not so fast. Over Cabrera’s last five outings against the Rangers, he has only won one game and has a 6.08 ERA.